Weekly Economic Update November 1, 2021
In this week’s recap: Earnings build while GDP slows.
THE WEEK ON WALL STREET
A fresh wave of positive corporate earnings surprises sent markets to new record highs last week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.40%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 rose 1.33%. The Nasdaq Composite index picked up 2.71% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, was up 0.68%.1,2,3
EARNINGS DRIVE MARKET
The week kicked off with the Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 index setting record highs as the financial markets carried over the previous week’s price momentum.4
Stocks continued to climb on a string of forecast-beating earnings results. With about half of the S&P 500 constituent companies having reported earnings, more than 80% of them have beaten Wall Street analysts’ consensus estimates. Based on these results, earnings for all S&P 500 companies are expected to come in approximately 39% above the third quarter of last year. (Forecasts are based on assumptions, and may not materialize.) Stocks overcame disappointing earnings from two mega-cap tech names on Friday to maintain the week’s solid gains.5
GDP GROWTH SLOWS
While businesses managed to post strong earnings in the third quarter, the first look at economic growth came in below consensus estimates. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a 2.0% annualized rate in the third quarter, a slowdown from the two previous quarters, each of which posted annualized growth rates in excess of 6%.6
The spread of the Delta variant and backlogs in the supply chain were two major factors dragging on economic activity.
Tip of the Week
Set aside a half-hour to organize your financial documents. It makes sense for tax season, and it makes sense all year.
THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Monday: ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing Index.
Wednesday: ADP (Automated Data Processing) Employment Report. Factory Orders. ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Services Index. FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Announcement.
Thursday: Jobless Claims.
Friday: Employment Situation.
Source: Econoday, October 29, 2021
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS
Monday: Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG).
Tuesday: Pfizer, Inc. (PFE), Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI), Amgen, Inc. (AMGN), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), ConocoPhillips (COP), Prudential Financial (PRU), Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), TMobile US, Inc. (TMUS), The Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (EL).
Wednesday: CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Qualcomm, Inc. (QCOM), Electronic Arts (EA), Humana, Inc. (HUM), Booking Holdings, Inc. (BKNG), Match Group, Inc. (MTCH), Emerson Electric (EMR).
Thursday: Square, Inc. (SQ), Albemarle Corporation (ALB), Southern Companies (SO), Cigna Corporation (CI), Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (REGN).
Friday: DraftKings, Inc. (DKNG).
Source: Zacks, October 29, 2021
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
The Weekly Riddle
By rearranging the letters in the phrase VIEWING A STIR, you can make the name of a U.S. state. What state is it?
LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: If you add 1.5 to this number, you will get the same result as you would if you multiplied it by 1.5. What number is it? (Hints: It is a whole number, it is not zero, and it is between 1 and 10.)
Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.
The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.
The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.
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International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.
Please consult your financial professional for additional information.
This content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG is not affiliated with the named representative, financial professional, Registered Investment Advisor, Broker-Dealer, nor state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and they should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security.
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1. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
2. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
3. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
4. CNBC, October 24, 2021
5. CNBC, October 28, 2021
6. The Wall Street Journal, October 28, 2021